Dubai på lördag

I USA har man börjat promota Dubai och det utlovas en större sändning imorgon från Super Saturday. Det är inte så konstigt, det är många amerikanskt stammade hästar på plats och gräsbanan är snabb den också. I år har det varit tråkigt med Meydan, Godolphin har tagit hem tre, fyra segrar varje dag och det känns nästan löjligt.

Följande tips har jag skrivit för en amerikansk publik, men de flesta här runt ledvolten klarar nog av engelskan.

The first race is a Listed race over 1 mile and one and a half furlongs on the dirt. Dirt. Remember that. Godolphin are sporting three runners among them the mighty Masar with ratings far better than the competition. Note that this colt by New Approach and was a brilliant two year old on the TURF. Masar was not beaten far at Del Mar in Breeders’ but this is unknown waters and it is inadvisable to take short odds on the class act Masar. Stablemate Last Voyage (Eskendereya) is many lengths worse than Masar on racing, but IRL it could be a different story. My best bet though is 1 Yulong Warrior by Street Cry and a Bernardini mare. Comes from two straight wins after being switched to the dirt and the extra distance shouldn’t be a problem…

The next race is a dirt sprint over 6 furlongs.
Comicas is beautifully drawn and in good form. He was beaten far when runner up to My Catch in his last race but the draw might make him reverse the form today. Yalta has been the talk of the town for a couple of races and finally obliged latest. I don’t trust that form much and will go with Comicas in this one.

A turf sprint over 6 furlongs follows. Godolphin have 5 runners in this one and they can all win. D’Bai is likely to be popular, but the distance might be too sharp. The best horse is Ertijaal, but here the distance will be too long.There are quite a few negatives about many of the likely favorites so it could be worth the wile to side with an outsider. Shillong has been in great form and is now switched to turf for the first time. With his pedigree, Dubawi – Rainfall (Oasis Dream), the grass could actually be a positive.

A dirt mile worth 200 000 dollar and two of the principals are drawn wide. Heavy Metal will likely give up too much to get a position near or at the front and Dream Castle could certainly haved used a better draw in his dirt debut. Perfectly drawn in the number 1 spot we find Kimbear (USA) Temple City by a Sky Mesa mare. Kimbear had a little too much weight in his last handicaps and is better off in this Group 3 race with level weights.

The Jebel Hatta is a Group One race over One mile and one furlong. Godolphin have five runners in the race and Benbatl may be the best of them coming from a convincing Group 2 win over course and distance. Whisky Baron could spoil the party. He is a Grade 1 winner in South Africa and will be brought forward from his first run of the year when he was soundly beaten by Janoobi who is another contender.

The sixth race is a part of the Al Maktoum Challenge and is worth 400 000 dollars. The distance is one mile and two furlongs over the dirt. Last year’s Kentucky Derby disappointment Thunder Snow is closely matched with North America on their last outing. If Team Talk takes to the dirt he could be a danger but even more interesting is Boynton (More Than Ready). He looked marvellous in his winning debut at Meydan and could be able to overcome a bad draw.

The last race is a group 2 over one and a half mile on the turf. Hawkbill (Kitten’s Joy) should win this if he is sharp enough in his comeback. The most interesting runner is Called to the Bar trained by Pia Brandt. He is lightly raced but showed great quality in a guest appearance at Belmont last year. He might not win this one, but watch out next time out.

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